Cinnamon Crisis Dashboard

—

vs. Revenue File

20,000+

↓ Feb 28 – Mar 4

ALL SUSP.

Until Mar 7–8

279,328

↑ +16.2% YoY

Today's Critical Signals

LIVE DATA · MAR 6, 2026

✈ New & Active CMB Routes

Incoming Route Capacity — CMB Opportunities

New and seasonal direct services now active or launching — zero ME hub dependency. Key opportunities for Cinnamon to target.

🇦🇺 MEL → CMB LAUNCHING AUG 25

Jetstar · 3×/wk · 787-8 · First LCC AUS–SL direct

🇨🇳 PKX → CMB OPERATIONAL ✓

Capital Airlines · Seasonal Mar–Oct 2026 · Direct Beijing

🇩🇪 FRA → CMB WINDOW OPEN NOW

SriLankan UL557 · 3×/wk Tue/Thu/Sat · Closes Apr · Unaffected by ME

🇨🇳 CKG → CMB ANNOUNCED MAR 26

Chongqing Airlines · New China source market · Via SIN/HKG

🇮🇳 AMD → CMB PLANNED

SriLankan UL · 4×/wk · 10th India city · 93 total UL India services

⚠ DXB Airport Status — Mar 6

Dubai Partially Operating — Key Carriers & Routes

DXB at ~20% passenger schedule. Emirates running 100+ flights. Most major long-haul carriers still suspended. Recovery expected Mar 7–8.

Emirates (EK) 100+ FLIGHTS

LHR, LGW, CDG, FRA, SYD, BOM, DEL operating · Suspend ends Mar 7 23:59

flydubai (FZ) REDUCED

Reduced schedule resumed Mar 5 · Longer flight times due to rerouting

Virgin Atlantic (VS) RESUMED ✓

DXB–LHR resumed Mar 4 · 11:50 GST departure

British Airways (BA) SUSPENDED

All DXB routes suspended · Free rebooking to Mar 29

Lufthansa / SQ / AF SUSPENDED

All major EU & Asian long-haul carriers remain suspended · Est. Mar 6–8 restart

★ Key Signals — Act Now

India Surging · China Stable · EU/UK OTB at Risk

Three diverging market signals demand split-strategy response immediately.

🇮🇳 India — ACT NOW +42% SEARCH

Breakout: "is sri lanka safe" · Deploy direct-flight messaging · Activate MakeMyTrip today

🇨🇳 China — THIS WEEK +28% YoY

Via SIN/HKG — zero ME disruption · Post-CNY window open · Activate Ctrip packages

🇬🇧🇩🇪 UK/EU — DAMAGE CTL LKR 385M+ RISK

70–75% routed via ME hubs · Proactive outreach to all Mar–Apr bookings · Offer free changes

🇸🇦 Saudi — WATCH RECOVERING

RUH/JED at 65–68% ops · Saudi may recover before UAE/Qatar · Monitor daily

Property Snapshot

Sector:

By Property

By Market

By Nationality

Cancellations by Market

Market Code	Market Group	Revenue	Room Nights	Count	Share %	vs Prior Upload	vs Last 3

Cancellations by Nationality

Nationality	Country	Revenue	Room Nights	Count	Share %	vs Prior Upload	vs Last 3

Sector:

By Property

By Market

By Nationality

Bookings by Market

Market Code	Market Group	Room Nights	Count	Share %	vs Prior Upload	vs Last 3

Bookings by Nationality

Nationality	Country	Room Nights	Count	Share %	vs Prior Upload	vs Last 3

Airport Recovery

Airline Status

Route Intelligence

Crisis Timeline

ME Airport Passenger Schedule — % of Normal

Passenger flights only · Cargo excluded · Click any card for breakdown · Updated Mar 6, 2026

█ 0–20% Suspended █ 21–60% Limited █ 61%+ Recovering

Daily Passenger Operating % vs Schedule — Feb 28 → Mar 5Passenger flights only · Cargo excluded · ↑ recovering · ↓ worsening

Airport	Feb 28	Mar 1	Mar 2	Mar 3	Mar 4	Mar 5 (Today)	Trend	Status

⚠ Note: % figures reflect estimated passenger schedule only — cargo and repositioning flights excluded. Estimated from official airport/airline statements and press reports. Click any airport card for passenger flight breakdown.

✈ Colombo (CMB)

🏝 Malé (MLE)

🌍 ME Hub Carriers — Mar 5

Emirates (DXB)

All scheduled flights suspended until Mar 7, 23:59 GST

SUSPENDED

Qatar Airways (DOH)

Suspended — awaiting QCAA airspace clearance

SUSPENDED

Etihad Airways (AUH)

Extended to Mar 6, 06:00 UAE time. Repatriation only.

SUSPENDED

Air Arabia (SHJ/AUH)

Suspended until Mar 9, 15:00 GST

SUSPENDED

flydubai

Reduced schedule resumed Mar 5

LIMITED

Virgin Atlantic

Resumed DXB–LHR Mar 4 (11:50 GST departure)

RESUMED ✓

✈ Indian Carriers

IndiGo — ME Routes

190+ flights cancelled · DXB, AUH, DOH, SHJ

190+ CANC.

Air India — ME + Europe via Gulf

50+ cancelled Mar 1 · Flexibility to Mar 18

PARTIAL

SriLankan Airlines — India

90 weekly flights · 9 cities · ZERO impact to CMB

OPERATIONAL ✓

🌍 Long-Haul Carriers

Lufthansa Group

DXB + AUH suspended until Mar 6–8

SUSPENDED

Singapore Airlines + Scoot

SQ: DXB suspended to Mar 7. Scoot: JED to Mar 7

SUSPENDED

Air France / KLM

DXB, RUH, DMM, BEY suspended

SUSPENDED

British Airways

DXB/AUH/DOH/AMM suspended. Free rebooking to Mar 29

SUSPENDED

Turkish Airlines

All Gulf + ME cancelled

SUSPENDED

Cathay Pacific

DXB cancelled through Mar 5

LIMITED

📊 ME Crisis Scale

12,300+

cancellations across 7 ME airports

1M+

passengers stranded or delayed

17,498

repatriated on 60 UAE govt flights

7–14 days

analyst recovery estimate

✈ Colombo Routes (CMB)

🏝 Malé Routes (MLE)

⚠ Data integrity note: All route data sourced from AeroRoutes, FlightConnections, Trip.com, and Aviation Week (March 2026). Fare/availability signals sourced from published reports (Aerotime, SCMP, CNN Travel). Real-time GDS booking curves are proprietary — fare pricing and seat availability are used here as demand proxies only, not internal booking data.

New & Seasonal CMB Routes — Active or Announced

AEROROUTES / FLIGHTCONNECTIONS / AVIATIONA2Z · MAR 2026

Direct CMB Route Changes — Verified Announced/Launched Routes Only

Route	Airline	Freq.	Aircraft	Status	ME Dependency	Cinnamon Relevance

Existing Direct Europe ↔ CMB Routes

FLIGHTCONNECTIONS / TRIP.COM · MAR 2026

All Direct Europe–Colombo Nonstop Services (Mar 2026)All others connect via ME hubs (DXB/DOH/AUH)

Origin	Airline	Flight	Freq / Week	Season	ME Impact	Crisis Effect

⚡ Key read: The 3 direct Europe–CMB routes (LHR, CDG, FRA) are completely unaffected by ME hub closures. Frankfurt seasonal window (Mar–Apr) is open NOW — closes April.

Europe → Asia Booking Demand Signals

AEROTIME / CNN TRAVEL / SCMP / CAPA · MAR 1–5, 2026

Alternative Route Carriers — Demand SurgeVerified press reports only

Carrier	Key Route	Demand Signal	Fare Signal	Implication for SL

Europe–Asia Reroute Options (No ME)Source: CNN Travel

🛤 Northern Route (Caucasus / Afghanistan)

Used by: SQ, CX, TK, Finnair · +2–4 hrs · Higher fuel cost

🛤 Southern Route (Egypt / Oman)

Via Egypt → Saudi → Oman · +1–3 hrs · Partially operable

✈ Direct Nonstop (No ME overfly)

CMB–LHR / CDG / FRA via SriLankan: Completely Unaffected

CAPA AssessmentCAPA Centre for Aviation, Mar 3, 2026

"There may be positive effects on bookings on direct Europe–Asia routes where Middle East hub connections are suspended."

— CAPA, Mar 3, 2026

European guests specifically booking to Sri Lanka on the SriLankan direct routes (LHR, CDG, FRA) are completely unaffected and may find SL more appealing as it has clean direct access.

Fare & Seat Availability Signals — Demand Proxy

AEROTIME / SCMP / CNN TRAVEL · NOT INTERNAL BOOKING DATA

Key Fare Observations — Europe/Asia Alternative RoutesPublished press data only · Used as demand proxy

Route	Carrier	Normal Fare (est.)	Post-Crisis Fare	Availability	Signal

📌 Fare data sourced from Aerotime.aero (Mar 3), SCMP (Mar 2), CNN Travel (Mar 4). These are published observations, not live GDS data. Treat as directional signals only.

Route	Airline	Freq.	ME Hub	Status	Alternative
London (LHR) → MLE	Emirates via DXB	Daily	DXB	DISRUPTED	UL LHR→CMB→MLE
Frankfurt (FRA) → MLE	Qatar via DOH	3×/wk	DOH	SUSPENDED	UL FRA→CMB→MLE
Paris (CDG) → MLE	Emirates via DXB	4×/wk	DXB	DISRUPTED	UL CDG→CMB→MLE
Delhi (DEL) → MLE	IndiGo / Air India	Daily	None	UNAFFECTED ✓	—
Mumbai (BOM) → MLE	IndiGo	Daily	None	UNAFFECTED ✓	—
Colombo (CMB) → MLE	SriLankan UL	Daily	None	UNAFFECTED ✓	Key EU transit point
Singapore (SIN) → MLE	Singapore Airlines	Daily	None	UNAFFECTED ✓	APAC guests

Crisis Timeline

Recovery Watch — Key Dates

Market	Pre-Conflict	Post-Conflict	ME Dependency	Opportunity
🇮🇳 India	↑ +17% YoY	↑↑ +42%	NONE	VERY HIGH
🇦🇺 Australia	→ +12% YoY	↑ +28%	PARTIAL ~25%	MEDIUM-HIGH
🇨🇳 China	↑↑ +28% YoY	↑ Steady	NONE	HIGH
🇬🇧 UK	→ Flat	↓↓ Cancellations	CRITICAL 75%	LOW (Mar)
🇩🇪 Germany	→ Flat	↓↓ Cancellations	HIGH 70%	LOW (Mar)

Date / Time	Authority / Source	Announcement	Affects	Status
Feb 28, 00:01	GCAA General Civil Aviation Authority	UAE Airspace Fully Closed — NOTAM Issued All IFR traffic through UAE FIR suspended with immediate effect. DXB, DWC, AUH, SHJ, RKT, FJR, AAN airports closed to all scheduled civilian passenger services. Overflights suspended.	All UAE Airports	ACTIVE
Feb 28, 06:00	Emirates Group Official Press Release	Emirates Suspends All Scheduled Passenger Flights All EK scheduled passenger services suspended until further notice. Customers offered full refunds or free rebooking. Cargo ops continue with rerouting. SkyCargo maintains limited operations.	Emirates (EK)	ACTIVE
Mar 1, 14:00	UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs Official Statement	UAE Govt to Cover Hotel Costs for Stranded Tourists UAE government announced it will cover hotel accommodation costs for international tourists stranded at UAE airports due to the airspace closure. DTCM coordinating with hotels. Applies to tourists with onward disrupted bookings.	Stranded Tourists	CONFIRMED
Mar 2, 09:00	UAE Armed Forces / MoD Official Communiqué	60 Government Charter Flights — 17,498 Passengers Repatriated UAE government operated 60 special repatriation charter flights from DXB and AUH. Priority given to medical cases, elderly, and families with minors. 17,498 passengers successfully returned to home countries across 38 destinations.	DXB / AUH	COMPLETED
Mar 2, 18:00	GCAA Updated NOTAM	Exceptional Operations Permitted — DXB / DWC / AUH GCAA issued updated NOTAM permitting "exceptional" flight operations at DXB, DWC, and AUH effective Mar 2, 20:00 GST. Only pre-cleared aircraft with specific approvals permitted. Full schedule not restored. Applies to humanitarian, repatriation, and government-approved services.	DXB / DWC / AUH	LIMITED
Mar 3, 12:00	Emirates Group Official Update	Emirates Suspension Extended to Mar 7, 23:59 GST Emirates confirmed extension of passenger flight suspension until Mar 7, 23:59 GST. Limited select routes resuming in coordination with GCAA pre-clearance process. Customers on affected flights contacted directly.	Emirates (EK) All Routes	SUSPENDED
Mar 5, 08:00	UAE Ministry of Infrastructure Official Statement	DXB Partial Passenger Operations Approved — ~20% Schedule Ministry confirmed approval for partial passenger operations at DXB from Mar 5. Emirates operating 100+ pre-approved passenger flights. flydubai approved for reduced network. All operations subject to enhanced security screening. Full schedule restoration contingent on GCAA airspace security assessment, expected Mar 7–8.	DXB — Partial	LIMITED

Today's Critical Signals

Property Snapshot

New & Seasonal CMB Routes — Active or Announced

Existing Direct Europe ↔ CMB Routes

Europe → Asia Booking Demand Signals

Fare & Seat Availability Signals — Demand Proxy

Malé (MLE) Direct Route Status

UAE Government — Official Airspace & Flight Announcements

Priority Action Plan

Connect Google Sheets

Today's Critical Signals

Property Snapshot

New & Seasonal CMB Routes — Active or Announced

Existing Direct Europe ↔ CMB Routes

Europe → Asia Booking Demand Signals

Fare & Seat Availability Signals — Demand Proxy

Malé (MLE) Direct Route Status

UAE Government — Official Airspace & Flight Announcements

Priority Action Plan